Financial targets and guidance

Aspo’s operating environment is expected to remain challenging during 2025. Continued geopolitical uncertainty and global trade tensions are expected to have a negative impact on economic growth and global trade. Increased defense and infrastructure spending in Europe may support economic recovery. Aspo’s profit improvement for the year is expected to come mainly from the profit generation of the Green Coaster vessels, from Telko’s and Leipurin’s acquisitions completed in 2024, as well as from various intensified profit improvement actions throughout Aspo’s businesses. The higher end of the estimated comparable EBITA range may be realized if all the planned profit improvement measures are successful, and there would be an immediate economic recovery. The lower end of the range may be realized if the economic recovery is further delayed, or significant volumes would be lost or margins impacted negatively due to some unforeseen negative events. Continued trade tensions may have an indirect negative impact on the volumes and price levels of Aspo’s businesses. Direct impacts are expected to be modest.

For ESL Shipping, demand is expected to continue weak for 2025, with fairly low contractual volumes combined with low spot market pricing. Seasonally volumes are expected to improve for the fourth quarter.

For Telko, overall stable market development is expected going forward. After successfully completing three acquisitions in 2024, the focus in 2025 is on integrating the acquired companies and securing organic growth and positive profitability development. Acquisition-related expenses are expected to be at a clearly lower level in 2025 than in 2024.

For Leipurin, the market is expected to be stable. There continues to be opportunities for growth in the food industry, where the addressable market for Leipurin is multiple compared to the bakery sector. Leipurin remains in a good position to continue improving its profitability.